Welcome folks to our Third Annual Night of LIVE Oscar Blogging. We'll be running through the results in real time baby, and seeing how many of our predictions we got awfully, awfully wrong. Seth MacFarlane is hosting it up and the overdressed self-obsessed celebs are gathering to their seats. It's time to celebrate the most overblown self-congratulatory night in the nation! Let's get started! We'll place our predictions in bold and the winners in RED.
8:48 PM
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin for Argo
Robert De Niro for Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman for The Master
Tommy Lee Jones for Lincoln
Christoph Waltz for Django Unchained
Holy Shit! Did not see this coming at all! I thought this was a dead heat between Tom and Bobby, but Chris does it again after winning for a very similar role for Inglourious Basterds. I suppose his Golden Globe win was more prophetic than we all thought! This is a big shocker to start the evening - where may we go from here?!
Prediction Accuracy: 0/1
8:58 PM
Best Short Film, Animated
Adam and Dog
Fresh Guacamole
Head Over Heels
Paperman
The Simpsons: The Longest Daycare
Somehow Paul Rudd's presentation here was worse than his Golden Globe presentation. I had officially called Maggie Simpson when I made my initial predictions, but anyone could have seen Paperman coming a mile away. It's really a great short, and quick enough to find and watch on YouTube if you so desire. Still, I'll go by the book on my predictions a month ago and chaulk this up to a winless streak so far. Damn.
Prediction Accuracy: 0/2
9:00 PM
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
Brave: Mark Andrews, Brenda Chapman
Frankenweenie: Tim Burton
ParaNorman: Sam Fell, Chris Butler
The Pirates! Band of Misfits: Peter Lord
Wreck-It Ralph: Rich Moore
I did not think Pixar was going to pull it off this year at all. Wreck-It Ralph seemed like it had a bit more good favour for it rather than the bizarro Brave story. Still, a Pixar win is never really an upset, is it? I need to start giving updates to predictions a week out, I knew "Paperman" would hit it. I guarantee I flubbed Best Editing and Adapted Screenplay, too.
Prediction Accuracy: 0/3
9:06 PM
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Anna Karenina: Seamus McGarvey
Django Unchained: Robert Richardson
Life of Pi: Claudio Miranda
Lincoln: Janusz Kaminski
Skyfall: Roger Deakins
What, No Scarlett to present with the Avengers boys? Rough digs by Downey, Jr at the Academy and a little self-serving, pal. Still, they seemed to move on quickly. This was starting to look like it was going to go in the favor of Janusz or Roger, who will remain tragically ignored by the Academy throughout an incredible career. With the concept that this flick is last year's Hugo (2011), though, this was always Life of Pi's to lose.
Prediction Accuracy: 1/4
9:09 PM
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
The Avengers: Janek Sirrs, Jeff White, Guy Williams, Daniel Sudick
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey: Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, R. Christopher White
Life of Pi: Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik De Boer, Donald Elliott
Prometheus: Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley, Martin Hill
Snow White and the Huntsman: Cedric Nicolas-Troyan, Phil Brennan, Neil Corbould, Michael Dawson
Somewhat nice banter. Nothing great, though guys. Sam Jackson's red jacket is fantastic, though. So many deserving nominees this year, but again, Life of Pi and the tiger, Richard Parker was an incredible effect. It's the kind of effect that just about single-handedly wins an award like this. Kudos. Wait - is that seriously the wrap-it-up music this year? Kind of clever, but really marginalizing of some emotional speech moments!
Prediction Accuracy: 2/5
9:16 PM
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Anna Karenina: Jacqueline Durran
Les Misérables: Paco Delgado
Lincoln: Joanna Johnston
Mirror Mirror: Eiko Ishioka
Snow White and the Huntsman: Colleen Atwood
Love when Jennifer Aniston and Channing Tatum are the best presenters of the night so far. Mirror Mirror was robbed! This was somewhat of a no-brainer, but still, there were many period pieces that could have scored here. Jaqueline has a decent nomination history, though, and the exquisiteness of Anna Karenina pushed it over the edge. I always feel like I have a stutter when saying "Karenina."
Prediction Accuracy: 3/6
9:19 PM
Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Hitchcock: Howard Berger, Peter Montagna, Martin Samuel
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey: Peter King, Rick Findlater, Tami Lane
Les Misérables: Lisa Westcott, Julie Dartnell
They are really cranking through these! The speeches have been really short - maybe they are really scared of Jaws coming to munch some heads. This ultimately isn't that surprising. The make-up effects in The Hobbit could be seen as repetitive or derivative of the earlier Lord of the Rings films, and they used more CGI this time around anyway. Still, that didn't take away from Christoph Waltz's win! Good on you, Les Mis
Prediction Accuracy: 3/7
9:23
This Bond tribute was billed as a really big thing. Are they just playing the theme and showing some clips from the crappier movies? Great.
9:26
Shirley Bassey sounded better in 1964.
9:32 PM
Best Short Film, Live Action
Asad
Buzkashi Boys
Curfew
Death of a Shadow
Henry
Always a weird category for exactly why Jamie and Kerry just said - in the past it has been a good stepping stone towards A-List directors. Still, who cares for the most part. Nailed the call for Curfew, though, and it's nice to see a Christensen win. This is officially my proudest pick of the night so far, because who knows what the hell these other films are.
Prediction Accuracy: 4/8
9:35 PM
Best Documentary, Short Subjects
Inocente
Kings Point
Mondays at Racine
Open Heart
Redemption
Damn! Well, who knows who will win these things. Now that the more useless categories are out of the way, though, we can attest the rest of our predictions against the big awards.
Prediction Accuracy: 4/9
9:38
Getting kind of random with the groupings of BP noms and their presenters. What does Liam Neeson have to do with any of these films besides almost getting the title role in Lincoln? Also nice to see Argo's Zep "When the Levee Breaks" finding its way here. Did they make sure to point the needle on the right spot in IV?
9:43 PM
Best Documentary, Features
5 Broken Cameras
The Gatekeepers
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Searching for Sugar Man
These movies actually look pretty important. Sugar Man really seems like the least important of any of these, but the dudes who did the excellent Man on Wire (2008) must have knocked it out of the park again. I say "must have," because of course I have not seen any of these. I'm just glad I'm back up to .500.
Prediction Accuracy: 5/10
9:50 PM
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Amour (Austria)
War Witch (Canada)
No (Chile)
A Royal Affair (Denmark)
Kon-Tiki (Norway)
Yawn. Alright. There was never a chance Amour wasn't winning this. Moving on then.
Prediction Accuracy: 6/11
9:55 PM
Catherine Zeta-Jones sounded better in 2002. Wait, how did that happen? I was wondering what the hell Renee Zellweger was doing here during the pre-show...
10:00 PM
You know, sure, we've had like three musicals in the past decade or so that have made some waves at the Oscars. Is that really worth an entire tribute that takes show time away from some of the Best Documentary Short Winners' speeches? I mean, I give the latter a lot of shit, but they ARE talented Oscar winners. This is kind of bullshit.
10:05 PM
Viva la France!
10:12 PM
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Argo: John T. Reitz, Gregg Rudloff, José Antonio García
Les Misérables: Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson, Simon Hayes
Life of Pi: Ron Bartlett, Doug Hemphill, Drew Kunin
Lincoln: Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom, Ron Judkins
Skyfall: Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell, Stuart Wilson
The TED 2012 bit was alright. How did this become the Les Mis show in the past ten minutes? This is a very musical-friendly category and this was never really seriously contended. More importantly, I'm back in the black for correct predictions.
Prediction Accuracy: 7/12
10:14 PM
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Argo: Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn
Django Unchained: Wylie Stateman
Life of Pi: Eugene Gearty, Philip Stockton
Skyfall: Per Hallberg, Karen M. Baker
Zero Dark Thirty: Paul N.J. Ottosson
Jew jokes with Ted, eh? It's nice that Seth can get his really obnoxious jokes out through this and the Kirk bit at the start of the ceremony. Really he only gets away with it through a ton of Self-depredation. Which is appropriate. Listening to Ted say "Zero Dahk Thirty" is crazy.
WAIT WHAT? A TIE?! That's possible? I'm giving myself the Zero Dahk Thirty win. I didn't know Oscars could tie. Well, call me McNabb I suppose. Props to both winners. Does this make each win a bit less significant? Damn. If this was anything but Sound Editing I'm sure it would be way more interesting!
Prediction Accuracy: 8/13
10:20 PM
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams for The Master
Sally Field for Lincoln
Anne Hathaway for Les Misérables
Helen Hunt for The Sessions
Jacki Weaver for Silver Linings Playbook
Seth has found a great way to integrate a cutaway gag into a Live Oscar Ceremony and make fun of Christopher Plummer. He's bordering on brilliant, now. I can't wait until Amy picks up her statue, it's really just a matter of time. For now though, it goes to Hathaway. AND EVERY ACTRESS WHO HAS PLAYED CATWOMAN IN THE PAST DECADE HAS AN OSCAR. BOOM. And damn you can tell this was a well-rehearsed speech!
Prediction Accuracy: 9/14
10:32 PM
Best Achievement in Editing
Argo: William Goldenberg
Life of Pi: Tim Squyres
Lincoln: Michael Kahn
Silver Linings Playbook: Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers
Zero Dark Thirty: William Goldenberg, Dylan Tichenor
OK, this was a tough category to predict. It seemed like Zero Dark Thirty was all set to nail it, but then Argo started coming on real strong in the critical last month or so. But hey - either way it was going to Goldenberg! This is a good indication that Argo will go on to win it all - there was only a slim chance it would do so without picking up this one. This is another prediction I would have liked to change in the last couple weeks, but whatever.
10:36 PM
I like that it's such a guaranteer that Adele wins that they're really only playing her song among all the other Best Original Song nominees tonight.
Prediction Accuracy: 10/15
10:48 PM
Best Achievement in Production Design
Anna Karenina: Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey: Dan Hennah, Ra Vincent, Simon Bright
Les Misérables: Eve Stewart, Anna Lynch-Robinson
Life of Pi: David Gropman, Anna Pinnock
Lincoln: Rick Carter, Jim Erickson
So lively, K-Stew is. Anyway, I didn't see this at all. It may indicate that Lincoln has some love yet outside of Daniel Day-Lewis' performance. It will certainly be an interesting night when we get down to it!
Prediction Accuracy: 10/16
11:09 PM
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score
Anna Karenina: Dario Marianelli
Argo: Alexandre Desplat
Life of Pi: Mychael Danna
Lincoln: John Williams
Skyfall: Thomas Newman
It seemed like this night was moving quickly, now it's just dragging terribly. This was another Golden Globe win that I didn't think would take with the Academy. My predictions are slipping a bit again and it's clear that there is some love for Life of Pi and Lincoln's Best Picture chances take another hit.
Prediction Accuracy: 10/17
11:12 PM
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song
Chasing Ice: J. Ralph ("Before My Time")
Les Misérables: Alain Boublil, Claude-Michel Schönberg, Herbert Kretzmer ("Suddenly")
Life of Pi: Mychael Danna, Bombay Jayshree ("Pi's Lullaby")
Skyfall: Adele, Paul Epworth ("Skyfall")
Ted: Walter Murphy, Seth MacFarlane ("Everybody Needs a Best Friend")
Yeah, that's about right. At least they played a bit more of every song here after they showcased Adele earlier. And good that Seth got his own track in here performed by Ted's sex buddy Norah Jones. Also, yeah, Scarlett Johansson is now an Academy-Award nominated singer. I remember thinking it ridiculous that Ben Affleck and Matt Damon were Academy Award-winning screenwriters, too, but look at Ben now! Probably!
Prediction Accuracy: 11/18
11:23 PM
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Argo: Chris Terrio
Beasts of the Southern Wild: Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi: David Magee
Lincoln: Tony Kushner
Silver Linings Playbook: David O. Russell
Fearsome category this year. With Argo's surge of late, this could have been better predicted. Nice win, and by now there's no reason why Argo won't win it all. I can also do no better than tie my best set of predictions, and that's only if I win everything from here on out. That's not looking good.
Prediction Accuracy: 11/19
11:26 PM
Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Amour: Michael Haneke
Django Unchained: Quentin Tarantino
Flight: John Gatins
Moonrise Kingdom: Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola
Zero Dark Thirty: Mark Boal
Hey! Look at that! QT strikes back against Mark Boal! Why didn't I believe the Golden Globes, more?! Nice win here and apparently Django has gotten a bit more love from the Academy despite its controversies, notably in the script itself. Still, it is a great script and deserving here.
Prediction Accuracy: 11/20
11:33 PM
Best Achievement in Directing
Michael Haneke for Amour
Ang Lee for Life of Pi
David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook
Steven Spielberg for Lincoln
Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of the Southern Wild
It wasn't Ben or Kathryn, so who cares? Still - quite a surprise here, and it's clear that as it would turn out, no one really gives a shit about Lincoln. This is really pretty crazy - does Life of Pi actually stand a chance at Best Picture now? Ang Lee is certainly deserving - moreso considering how drastially different of a film this is from his previous win for Brokeback Mountain (2005).
Prediction Accuracy: 11/21
11:40 PM
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain for Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva for Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis for Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts for The Impossible
There we go. This was a tough ride for a while between her and Jessica Chastain, but even with a little trip up the stairs, Jennifer has an Academy Award in addition to being really hot, really beloved, and still the headliner of a soon-to-be billion dollar worldwide franchise. And she's still so likable! We love you, J-Law!
Prediction Accuracy: 12/22
11:46 PM
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper for Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln
Hugh Jackman for Les Misérables
Joaquin Phoenix for The Master
Denzel Washington for Flight
This was Daniel Day's award to lose, but this nomination should still help to legitimize the otherwise joke cinematic careers of Hugh and Brad. Joaquin could care less. Denzel is still the best part of Flight that's not the plane crash. But for all intents and purposes, Daniel Day is well on his way to becoming an actual real-life Kirk Lazarus. Congratulations! AND he gets points for what may be the best joke of the night - Daniel's Margaret Thatcher, Meryl's Lincoln, hell yes.
Prediction Accuracy: 13/23
11:52
Best Motion Picture of the Year
Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Damn - a Jack Nicholson / Michelle Obama / Michelle Obama's bangs triple introduction? Fantastic! Ben nails it and we all need to respect him now, I guess. No more douche posts, I swear. Argo is certainly deserving, as so many films were in this very competitive year.
Well, the long season is finally over. It's time to get some sleep, lick my wounds, and work on my awful predictions for next year.
Goodnight, everybody!
Final Prediction Accuracy Tally: 14/24
8:48 PM
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin for Argo
Robert De Niro for Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman for The Master
Tommy Lee Jones for Lincoln
Christoph Waltz for Django Unchained
Holy Shit! Did not see this coming at all! I thought this was a dead heat between Tom and Bobby, but Chris does it again after winning for a very similar role for Inglourious Basterds. I suppose his Golden Globe win was more prophetic than we all thought! This is a big shocker to start the evening - where may we go from here?!
Prediction Accuracy: 0/1
8:58 PM
Best Short Film, Animated
Adam and Dog
Fresh Guacamole
Head Over Heels
Paperman
The Simpsons: The Longest Daycare
Somehow Paul Rudd's presentation here was worse than his Golden Globe presentation. I had officially called Maggie Simpson when I made my initial predictions, but anyone could have seen Paperman coming a mile away. It's really a great short, and quick enough to find and watch on YouTube if you so desire. Still, I'll go by the book on my predictions a month ago and chaulk this up to a winless streak so far. Damn.
Prediction Accuracy: 0/2
9:00 PM
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
Brave: Mark Andrews, Brenda Chapman
Frankenweenie: Tim Burton
ParaNorman: Sam Fell, Chris Butler
The Pirates! Band of Misfits: Peter Lord
Wreck-It Ralph: Rich Moore
I did not think Pixar was going to pull it off this year at all. Wreck-It Ralph seemed like it had a bit more good favour for it rather than the bizarro Brave story. Still, a Pixar win is never really an upset, is it? I need to start giving updates to predictions a week out, I knew "Paperman" would hit it. I guarantee I flubbed Best Editing and Adapted Screenplay, too.
Prediction Accuracy: 0/3
9:06 PM
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Anna Karenina: Seamus McGarvey
Django Unchained: Robert Richardson
Life of Pi: Claudio Miranda
Lincoln: Janusz Kaminski
Skyfall: Roger Deakins
What, No Scarlett to present with the Avengers boys? Rough digs by Downey, Jr at the Academy and a little self-serving, pal. Still, they seemed to move on quickly. This was starting to look like it was going to go in the favor of Janusz or Roger, who will remain tragically ignored by the Academy throughout an incredible career. With the concept that this flick is last year's Hugo (2011), though, this was always Life of Pi's to lose.
Prediction Accuracy: 1/4
9:09 PM
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
The Avengers: Janek Sirrs, Jeff White, Guy Williams, Daniel Sudick
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey: Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, R. Christopher White
Life of Pi: Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik De Boer, Donald Elliott
Prometheus: Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley, Martin Hill
Snow White and the Huntsman: Cedric Nicolas-Troyan, Phil Brennan, Neil Corbould, Michael Dawson
Somewhat nice banter. Nothing great, though guys. Sam Jackson's red jacket is fantastic, though. So many deserving nominees this year, but again, Life of Pi and the tiger, Richard Parker was an incredible effect. It's the kind of effect that just about single-handedly wins an award like this. Kudos. Wait - is that seriously the wrap-it-up music this year? Kind of clever, but really marginalizing of some emotional speech moments!
Prediction Accuracy: 2/5
9:16 PM
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Anna Karenina: Jacqueline Durran
Les Misérables: Paco Delgado
Lincoln: Joanna Johnston
Mirror Mirror: Eiko Ishioka
Snow White and the Huntsman: Colleen Atwood
Love when Jennifer Aniston and Channing Tatum are the best presenters of the night so far. Mirror Mirror was robbed! This was somewhat of a no-brainer, but still, there were many period pieces that could have scored here. Jaqueline has a decent nomination history, though, and the exquisiteness of Anna Karenina pushed it over the edge. I always feel like I have a stutter when saying "Karenina."
Prediction Accuracy: 3/6
9:19 PM
Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Hitchcock: Howard Berger, Peter Montagna, Martin Samuel
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey: Peter King, Rick Findlater, Tami Lane
Les Misérables: Lisa Westcott, Julie Dartnell
They are really cranking through these! The speeches have been really short - maybe they are really scared of Jaws coming to munch some heads. This ultimately isn't that surprising. The make-up effects in The Hobbit could be seen as repetitive or derivative of the earlier Lord of the Rings films, and they used more CGI this time around anyway. Still, that didn't take away from Christoph Waltz's win! Good on you, Les Mis
Prediction Accuracy: 3/7
9:23
This Bond tribute was billed as a really big thing. Are they just playing the theme and showing some clips from the crappier movies? Great.
9:26
Shirley Bassey sounded better in 1964.
9:32 PM
Best Short Film, Live Action
Asad
Buzkashi Boys
Curfew
Death of a Shadow
Henry
Always a weird category for exactly why Jamie and Kerry just said - in the past it has been a good stepping stone towards A-List directors. Still, who cares for the most part. Nailed the call for Curfew, though, and it's nice to see a Christensen win. This is officially my proudest pick of the night so far, because who knows what the hell these other films are.
Prediction Accuracy: 4/8
9:35 PM
Best Documentary, Short Subjects
Inocente
Kings Point
Mondays at Racine
Open Heart
Redemption
Damn! Well, who knows who will win these things. Now that the more useless categories are out of the way, though, we can attest the rest of our predictions against the big awards.
Prediction Accuracy: 4/9
9:38
Getting kind of random with the groupings of BP noms and their presenters. What does Liam Neeson have to do with any of these films besides almost getting the title role in Lincoln? Also nice to see Argo's Zep "When the Levee Breaks" finding its way here. Did they make sure to point the needle on the right spot in IV?
9:43 PM
Best Documentary, Features
5 Broken Cameras
The Gatekeepers
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Searching for Sugar Man
These movies actually look pretty important. Sugar Man really seems like the least important of any of these, but the dudes who did the excellent Man on Wire (2008) must have knocked it out of the park again. I say "must have," because of course I have not seen any of these. I'm just glad I'm back up to .500.
Prediction Accuracy: 5/10
9:50 PM
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Amour (Austria)
War Witch (Canada)
No (Chile)
A Royal Affair (Denmark)
Kon-Tiki (Norway)
Yawn. Alright. There was never a chance Amour wasn't winning this. Moving on then.
Prediction Accuracy: 6/11
9:55 PM
Catherine Zeta-Jones sounded better in 2002. Wait, how did that happen? I was wondering what the hell Renee Zellweger was doing here during the pre-show...
10:00 PM
You know, sure, we've had like three musicals in the past decade or so that have made some waves at the Oscars. Is that really worth an entire tribute that takes show time away from some of the Best Documentary Short Winners' speeches? I mean, I give the latter a lot of shit, but they ARE talented Oscar winners. This is kind of bullshit.
10:05 PM
Viva la France!
10:12 PM
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Argo: John T. Reitz, Gregg Rudloff, José Antonio García
Les Misérables: Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson, Simon Hayes
Life of Pi: Ron Bartlett, Doug Hemphill, Drew Kunin
Lincoln: Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom, Ron Judkins
Skyfall: Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell, Stuart Wilson
The TED 2012 bit was alright. How did this become the Les Mis show in the past ten minutes? This is a very musical-friendly category and this was never really seriously contended. More importantly, I'm back in the black for correct predictions.
Prediction Accuracy: 7/12
10:14 PM
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Argo: Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn
Django Unchained: Wylie Stateman
Life of Pi: Eugene Gearty, Philip Stockton
Skyfall: Per Hallberg, Karen M. Baker
Zero Dark Thirty: Paul N.J. Ottosson
Jew jokes with Ted, eh? It's nice that Seth can get his really obnoxious jokes out through this and the Kirk bit at the start of the ceremony. Really he only gets away with it through a ton of Self-depredation. Which is appropriate. Listening to Ted say "Zero Dahk Thirty" is crazy.
WAIT WHAT? A TIE?! That's possible? I'm giving myself the Zero Dahk Thirty win. I didn't know Oscars could tie. Well, call me McNabb I suppose. Props to both winners. Does this make each win a bit less significant? Damn. If this was anything but Sound Editing I'm sure it would be way more interesting!
Prediction Accuracy: 8/13
10:20 PM
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams for The Master
Sally Field for Lincoln
Anne Hathaway for Les Misérables
Helen Hunt for The Sessions
Jacki Weaver for Silver Linings Playbook
Seth has found a great way to integrate a cutaway gag into a Live Oscar Ceremony and make fun of Christopher Plummer. He's bordering on brilliant, now. I can't wait until Amy picks up her statue, it's really just a matter of time. For now though, it goes to Hathaway. AND EVERY ACTRESS WHO HAS PLAYED CATWOMAN IN THE PAST DECADE HAS AN OSCAR. BOOM. And damn you can tell this was a well-rehearsed speech!
Prediction Accuracy: 9/14
10:32 PM
Best Achievement in Editing
Argo: William Goldenberg
Life of Pi: Tim Squyres
Lincoln: Michael Kahn
Silver Linings Playbook: Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers
Zero Dark Thirty: William Goldenberg, Dylan Tichenor
OK, this was a tough category to predict. It seemed like Zero Dark Thirty was all set to nail it, but then Argo started coming on real strong in the critical last month or so. But hey - either way it was going to Goldenberg! This is a good indication that Argo will go on to win it all - there was only a slim chance it would do so without picking up this one. This is another prediction I would have liked to change in the last couple weeks, but whatever.
10:36 PM
I like that it's such a guaranteer that Adele wins that they're really only playing her song among all the other Best Original Song nominees tonight.
Prediction Accuracy: 10/15
10:48 PM
Best Achievement in Production Design
Anna Karenina: Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey: Dan Hennah, Ra Vincent, Simon Bright
Les Misérables: Eve Stewart, Anna Lynch-Robinson
Life of Pi: David Gropman, Anna Pinnock
Lincoln: Rick Carter, Jim Erickson
So lively, K-Stew is. Anyway, I didn't see this at all. It may indicate that Lincoln has some love yet outside of Daniel Day-Lewis' performance. It will certainly be an interesting night when we get down to it!
Prediction Accuracy: 10/16
11:09 PM
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score
Anna Karenina: Dario Marianelli
Argo: Alexandre Desplat
Life of Pi: Mychael Danna
Lincoln: John Williams
Skyfall: Thomas Newman
It seemed like this night was moving quickly, now it's just dragging terribly. This was another Golden Globe win that I didn't think would take with the Academy. My predictions are slipping a bit again and it's clear that there is some love for Life of Pi and Lincoln's Best Picture chances take another hit.
Prediction Accuracy: 10/17
11:12 PM
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song
Chasing Ice: J. Ralph ("Before My Time")
Les Misérables: Alain Boublil, Claude-Michel Schönberg, Herbert Kretzmer ("Suddenly")
Life of Pi: Mychael Danna, Bombay Jayshree ("Pi's Lullaby")
Skyfall: Adele, Paul Epworth ("Skyfall")
Ted: Walter Murphy, Seth MacFarlane ("Everybody Needs a Best Friend")
Yeah, that's about right. At least they played a bit more of every song here after they showcased Adele earlier. And good that Seth got his own track in here performed by Ted's sex buddy Norah Jones. Also, yeah, Scarlett Johansson is now an Academy-Award nominated singer. I remember thinking it ridiculous that Ben Affleck and Matt Damon were Academy Award-winning screenwriters, too, but look at Ben now! Probably!
Prediction Accuracy: 11/18
11:23 PM
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Argo: Chris Terrio
Beasts of the Southern Wild: Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi: David Magee
Lincoln: Tony Kushner
Silver Linings Playbook: David O. Russell
Fearsome category this year. With Argo's surge of late, this could have been better predicted. Nice win, and by now there's no reason why Argo won't win it all. I can also do no better than tie my best set of predictions, and that's only if I win everything from here on out. That's not looking good.
Prediction Accuracy: 11/19
11:26 PM
Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Amour: Michael Haneke
Django Unchained: Quentin Tarantino
Flight: John Gatins
Moonrise Kingdom: Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola
Zero Dark Thirty: Mark Boal
Hey! Look at that! QT strikes back against Mark Boal! Why didn't I believe the Golden Globes, more?! Nice win here and apparently Django has gotten a bit more love from the Academy despite its controversies, notably in the script itself. Still, it is a great script and deserving here.
Prediction Accuracy: 11/20
11:33 PM
Best Achievement in Directing
Michael Haneke for Amour
Ang Lee for Life of Pi
David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook
Steven Spielberg for Lincoln
Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of the Southern Wild
It wasn't Ben or Kathryn, so who cares? Still - quite a surprise here, and it's clear that as it would turn out, no one really gives a shit about Lincoln. This is really pretty crazy - does Life of Pi actually stand a chance at Best Picture now? Ang Lee is certainly deserving - moreso considering how drastially different of a film this is from his previous win for Brokeback Mountain (2005).
Prediction Accuracy: 11/21
11:40 PM
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain for Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva for Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis for Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts for The Impossible
There we go. This was a tough ride for a while between her and Jessica Chastain, but even with a little trip up the stairs, Jennifer has an Academy Award in addition to being really hot, really beloved, and still the headliner of a soon-to-be billion dollar worldwide franchise. And she's still so likable! We love you, J-Law!
Prediction Accuracy: 12/22
11:46 PM
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper for Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln
Hugh Jackman for Les Misérables
Joaquin Phoenix for The Master
Denzel Washington for Flight
This was Daniel Day's award to lose, but this nomination should still help to legitimize the otherwise joke cinematic careers of Hugh and Brad. Joaquin could care less. Denzel is still the best part of Flight that's not the plane crash. But for all intents and purposes, Daniel Day is well on his way to becoming an actual real-life Kirk Lazarus. Congratulations! AND he gets points for what may be the best joke of the night - Daniel's Margaret Thatcher, Meryl's Lincoln, hell yes.
Prediction Accuracy: 13/23
11:52
Best Motion Picture of the Year
Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Damn - a Jack Nicholson / Michelle Obama / Michelle Obama's bangs triple introduction? Fantastic! Ben nails it and we all need to respect him now, I guess. No more douche posts, I swear. Argo is certainly deserving, as so many films were in this very competitive year.
Well, the long season is finally over. It's time to get some sleep, lick my wounds, and work on my awful predictions for next year.
Goodnight, everybody!
Final Prediction Accuracy Tally: 14/24
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