15 March 2023

52 in '23: Man Bites Dog

Movie: Man Bites Dog (1992)
Method: Netflix DVD

Why Did I Watch This?

I have no idea how this got on my radar. I honestly forgot. I thought it was just like a phrase and I remember it as a joke in Spaceballs (1987). Now I'm not sure I've ever known less about a movie going into it. They literally started speaking French and I thought, "Oh, is this French?" I did not know it was black and white. Or actually what year it was made. I figured like, old? OR how violent and insane this would be.

How Was It?

This is assuredly a good movie, maybe one of the best of all time. But it's decidedly not for everyone. It is starkly violent and wholly uncompromising in its depiction of the worst actions imaginable. I mean, child murder, gang rape, it's all in there. Fun for someone who has no idea any of this is coming.

The whole bit is that it's amazingly matter of fact. The premise is that a documentary crew is following this guy who is incredibly charismatic and jovial, but also kills quite a few people. He seems to be maybe a professional robber or assassin or something? But no one gives him a job, he mostly just mugs and kills folks. He sees it as a job, though, he is remarkably detached. But there is some kind of moral code in there, when he kills a family and finds they have nothing for him to steal he's lascient about it.

That's not to say he has any redeeming qualities. He's one of the worst human beings to appear on any screen. It's like how Goodfellas (1990) showed all these really charismatic crooks who were so complacent and comfortable with death. Except this depiction is taken far far further. The documentary crew at first just seems to be taking it all in, but they slowly get more absorbed into his deeds, until they are helping him dispose of bodies, join in on killing children and raping wives, and all sorts of nonsense.

It's unnerving, to say the least. You wonder at first what their deal is, like is this some alternate universe where these actions or more acceptable? Or are they just morally apathetic? We don't get insight into why they are creating this project, but they keep moving forward, even after a few are caught in stray gunfire in the line of duty. Slowly all possible redemption for every character melts away.

It's shot super cheap, on 16MM. You know, I wonder if I put this on my list after watching "Truth in Journalism" which as I'm watching now is definitely the same movie, down to the hairstyles and really short tie. I'm really the worst film blogger of all time. Or maybe I just don't pretend to know everything. Anyway, they ingeniously got around hiring a cast by just hiring themselves to act and be the crew at the same time. It's pretty fun. The cinematography isn't super awe-inspiring, but I was struck by how good black and white looks. Especially the blood effects. Every film really should probably just be black and white.

This only works because lead actor Benoit Poelvoorde is amazingly engaging and charismatic. There's this weird satisfaction in knowing how he'll react to a situation, even if it's invariably horrific. He's incredibly well-defined for what must have been mostly improv, or a quick and dirty script. There are such large stretches of him on camera, it really is fantastic. There is just nothing held back, this is really humanity at is most raw and visceral.

The editing is unreal, too. Man that shot that cuts between kids with toy guns to actual guns being fired gets me every time. There is such wise use of editing to imply violence, but they also then definitely go for graphic violence as well. It all works in service of a story that feels somehow satirical? It's as if you have no choice but to laugh. But you also do really feel for these inhuman monsters! Their desires are so well articulated - not just killing folks, but the loss of a communion bracelet or wanting to hang out and eat some bad mussels. It's all as real as the horrific violence.

I don't know about this one, you have to be into it. It's really compelling and will stick with you for quite a while, but also definitely not for Grandma. I say check it out if you're able to. Netflix DVD for the win again!

13 March 2023

For the 95th time...OSCAR RESULTS!

This was such garbage. Not even a single on-stage assault or incorrect nominee read out! Why am I even watching this? By all accounts it's a very smooth ceremony when the major thing that happens is Elizabeth Banks almost falling. In general, my predictions were noticeably terrible, but that's really because so many films were shut out! How does Tar, Elvis, and Banshees of Inisherin all come home empty handed? I thought Everything might sweep, but this was a hell of a sweep. Let's dive in!

2023: 11/23
2022: 12/23
2021: 12/23
2020: 13/24 
2019: 13/24 
2018: 16/24 
2017: 13/24 
2016: 14/24 
2015: 13/24 
2014: 20/24 
2013: 14/24 
2012: 16/24 
2011: 14/24 
2010: 12/24

Best Picture

All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
Women Talking

Predicted Winner: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Actual Winner: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Heyyyy got this one right. I am so bad at Best Picture predictions, I did get Nomadland right in 2021 but it had been seven years before that. This is super weird and also full of heart and to be really honest, should be a poster child for how unpredictable Oscar Best Picture winners have really become.

1/1

Best Director

The Banshees of Inisherin, Martin McDonagh
Everything Everywhere All at Once, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
The Fabelmans, Steven Spielberg
Tár, Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness, Ruben Östlund

Predicted Winner: Kwan and Scheinert
Actual Winner: Daniels

Yay! Loved Swiss Army Man (2016) and it's insane that they win Best Director in their follow up going against this insane field. But it's deserved, EEAAO is a bonkers movie that they keep smooth and coherent. In lesser hands this would fall apart immediately.

2/2

Best Actor

Austin Butler in Elvis
Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser in The Whale
Paul Mescal in Aftersun
Bill Nighy in Living

Predicted Winner: Colin Farrell
Actual Winner: Fraser

Listen, I'm all about the Fraserssance. Airheads (1994), Gods and Monsters (1998), The Mummy (1999), and uhhhh....surely others in the past twenty years. Doom Patrol? The dude is great and so genuine and sweet, he deserves this. Except he doesn't, I don't really like exploitative performances behind a bunch of make-up and how is this Colin Farrell's first ever nomination? And Austin Butler is right there! I'm very torn, this isn't an Eddie Redmayne thing where it's so blatantly undeserved, but there just feels like there was better work to recognize, despite everyone loving Brendan Fraser.

2/3

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett in Tár
Ana de Armas in Blonde
Andrea Riseborough in To Leslie
Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted Winner: Yeoh
Actual Winner: Yeoh

Ye-haw! This was tough between Blanchett, Yeoh, and de Armas, but it's great to go to Yeoh. You could tell Blanchett was over it and get real, Tar is so hard to get through, man. This is a great win.

3/4

Best Supporting Actor

Brendan Gleeson in The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry in Causeway
Judd Hirsch in The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted Winner: Quan
Actual Winner: Quan

Harrison Ford giving Quan the Best Picture award was really, really surreal. Great win, I think Keoghan really deserved it but this was such a dark horse. It's really fun. Barry will be back.

4/5

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau in The Whale
Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All at Once
Stephanie Hsu in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted Winner: Bassett
Actual Winner: Jamie Lee Curtis

I could have maybe seen this coming if I had made predictions closer to the ceremony. This was definitely going to be an award to honor a lifetime of work and although Bassett seemed to crush awards early on, it felt more like JLC going into the ceremony. I might even say that both performances weren't either actress' best, but it's surely going to deserved person here.

4/6

Best Original Screenplay

The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Triangle of Sadness

Predicted Winner: Banshees
Actual Winner: Everything

This really tripped me up, it's crazy to win director, screenplay, and three quarters of the acting awards these days. I wonder if this will signify changing trends or be the outlier. Dude, Banshees was better. Like, I love both movies and I know Everything was a lot to keep track of, it certainly owns every moment, but I just thought they'd spread the love.

4/7

Best Adapted Screenplay

All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Living
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking

Predicted Winner: Western Front
Actual Winner: Women Talking

See, this is why I thought Banshees would win. It's such a pared down and dedicated, dialogue-focused screenplay. I don't know. I suppose they couldn't read German so now my prediction there seems stupid. But also All Quiet on the Western Front won everything else, so who knows. Now my predictions will really crater.

4/8

Best Film Editing

The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick

Predicted Winner: Maverick
Actual Winner: EEAAO

Yeah, dude. I get it, it's tough to edit this kind of film to make sense and the sequences come together with really crisp efficiency. But Top Gun: Maverick needed to win something to acknowledge how insane its flying hours came together, right? I mean, it was nominated everywhere, I thought it had more love. I guess not. It's a good win, it just comes down to the same deal - I thought awards would be spread out, instead this film won seven out of ten nominated categories!

4/9

Best Animated Film

Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
The Sea Beast
Turning Red

Predicted Winner: Pinocchio
Actual Winner: Pinocchio

Yay! Well deserved although I just watched Puss in Boots and that might actually be a bit better! This is fantastic, no whining from me.

5/10

Best International Feature Film

All Quiet on the Western Front
Argentina, 1985
Close
EO
The Quiet Girl

Predicted Winner: Quiet
Actual Winner: Quiet

Yep. No brainer here.

6/11

Best Cinematography

All Quiet on the Western Front
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Elvis
Empire of Light
Tár

Predicted Winner: Quiet
Actual Winner: Quiet

Same. The best of the lot.

7/12

Best Original Score

All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans

Predicted Winner: Babylon
Actual Winner: All Quiet on the Western Front

Everyone was saying Babylon so I went with it, then I watched the movie and the score was actually amazing and tied the entire film together and added such driving energy that it towered over all other nominees. But I guess people just hated this movie so went with their default, which was somehow the only other movie to win anything last night!

7/13

Best Original Song

“Applause” from Tell It like a Woman
“Hold My Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick
“Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
“Naatu Naatu” from RRR
“This Is A Life” from Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted Winner: "Naatu"
Actual Winner: "Naatu"

Hell yeah. How is this actually the first India-produced song to win anything? We really ignore Bollywood huh? Tollywood too.

8/14

Best Production Design

All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
Predicted Winner: Elvis
Actual Winner: All Quiet on the Western Front
It just seems so easy now. Like, that was just going to win everything. Sure. Folks were predicting Babylon, which I resisted, but I just didn't pick the right upset.
8/15

Best Costume Design

Babylon

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

Predicted Winner: Wakanda Forever
Actual Winner: Wakanda Forever
Hey, it wins again! Got this right, no notes, clearly the best.
9/16
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

All that Breathes
Fire of Love
Navalny

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Descendant

Predicted Winner: Fire of Love
Actual Winner: Navalny
Neither what people thought nor what I thought. Fire of Love was not that great, I actually did end up watching it. Navalny sounds like nuns in the navy to me for some reason, I'm going to assume that's what that was about, so a well deserved win.
9/17
Best Visual Effects
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Top Gun: Maverick
Predicted Winner: AVABAR
Actual Winner: AVABAR
Sure, makes sense.
10/18
SOUND
Top Gun Maverick
Avatar the Way of Water
Elvis
All Quiet on the Western Front
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Predicted Winner: TOP GUN
Actual Winner: TOP GUN
Sure, makes sense.
11/19
Best Animated Short

“The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse” Charlie Mackesy and Matthew Freud
“The Flying Sailor” Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby
“Ice Merchants” Joao Gonzalez and Bruno Cactano
“My Year of Dicks” Sara Gunnarsdottir and Pamela Ribon
“An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I Think I Believe It” Lachlan Pendragon
Predicted Winner: "Ostrich"
Actual Winner: "Boy, Mole, Fox, Horse"
Meh, whatever.
11/20
Best Documentary Short

“The Elephant Whisperers” Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga
“Haulout” Evgeniaq Arbugaeva and Maxim Arbugaev
“How Do You Measure a Year?” Jay Rosenblatt
“The Martha Mitchell Effect” Anne Alvergue and Beth Levison
“Stranger at the Gate” Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones

Predicted Winner: Martha Mitchell
Actual Winner: Elephant Whisperers

Fine.

11/21

Best Live Action Short

“An Irish Goodbye” Tom Berkeley and Ross White
“Ivalu” Anders Walter and Rebecca Pruzan
“Le Pupille” Alice Rohrwacher and Alfonso Cuaron
“Night Ride” Erik Tveiten and Gaute Lid Larssen
“The Red Suitcase” Cyrus Neshvad

Predicted Winner: Le Pupille
Actual Winner: Irish Goodbye

11/22

Best Make-up and Hairstyling

The Whale
Wakanda Forever
The Batman
Elvis
All Quiet on the Western Front

Predicted Winner: Did not predict
Actual Winner: The Whale

Hey! I didn't actual predict this somehow. I probably would have honestly slid into Elvis, because it just seemed more viable at the time, but whatever. Give it to double Oscar winner The Whale I guess.

11/23

Man I just got tripped up this year. Usually I'll get at least one or two documentaries or shorts go my way, so that hit hard, as well as some acting and technical awards that didn't spread the wealth the way I thought they usually do. I suppose that's every year. But for real, best writing, directing, acting, editing and picture is friggin WILD. Good for them, Everything Everywhere All At Once is spectacular and one we can be pretty proud of. We really don't want to be in this timeline right now, do we?

28 February 2023

52 in '23: APOCALYPTO

Movie: Apocalypto (2006)
Method: Amazon Prime

Why Did I Watch This?

A for Apocalypto! We open up our 2023 movie catch-up series with this very unique film. There really hasn't been anything like this made before or since. We made a big list but certainly lack the discipline to watch every week. At least for now. We need to get on it. But at the top of my list was Apocalypto. I don't know why, I feel like I've seen a lot of people talk about it recently. Upon release it got almost no mainstream attention but remains a critical and filmmaker's favorite.

My list is tough, I find myself always wanting to see interesting and challenging films but never in a mood to become full invested. This entire year I've been more in "Coast and watch Anchorman 2 (2013)" mode instead of pushing forward with My Dinner with Andre (1981). So that needs to change, but Apocalypto is a good start. I suppose.

How Was It?

I was just on the edge of my "is it racist?" seat the whole time. I don't think it was. Maybe. I really didn't understand this movie when it came out - the entire thing is in Mayan and starring indigenous actors. The basic premise is that a small village on the Yucatan is invaded and taken to be sacrificed by the Mayans. Then a big chase ensues and at the end - ruh roh, white folk show up!

Some folks took issue with the human sacrifices, and sure, there was more to the Mayan civilization than that, but showing a well-rounded villain really takes momentum away from the story. Is there some cultural responsibility to show the significant scientific advancement of an underrepresented civilization? Probably. But the story is pretty cogent in depicting its themes of death, fear, conquering, and fighting. It's totally brutal. It's not the kind of film to slow down and extrapolate. The point is to understand the perspective of the villagers and it does that well.

Now, if you're looking at plot elements to trim to keep the story moving, we could drop the main dude's wife and son slowly drowning in a big hole. He really didn't need additional motivation, he's got all these dudes in loincloths trying to kill him. But it does end up being a nice organic ticking clocks. But also the wife only exists to be in danger to motivate the male hero, so that's full of mid-2000s ickiness.

Folks also seem to gripe about the white men landing at the end, saying it symbolizes Europe taming the New World. I didn't get that sense at all, this village is clearly peaceful and well-rounded. The white folks arriving seems to be more like, "Oh, these people thought they had problems with each other, they have no idea what's coming." There's this endless cycle of violence perpetuated against each other and you get the sense that their lack of unification, though no intrinsic fault of their own will be their downfall. And I'll give the main dude credit for just peacing out into the jungle.

What should we think about Mel Gibson as a director? He does a great job here with what looks like natural sets and lighting and the plot is largely propulsive. He also adapts a very foreign story into universal and relatable themes. It's a bit odd that he would take such an interest in this after the Passion of the Christ (2004), and maybe that's where that white savior things comes in. It'd be nice to see indigenous peoples telling their own stories, but is this a fair stop-gap? I mean, no one else is approving an all-Mayan language non-white cast any time. Maybe Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022).

I enjoyed quite a bit of this, there are definitely some problems but the action is natural and fits against anything else of its day. It was overlooked during its time but there's some good merit here. The cultural disconnect is difficult but it genuinely sucks you in. There are problematic elements but I think most of them end up checking out. Most is assuredly not all. It's worth watching and actually has a timelessness that holds up well.

26 January 2023

2023 I'm Oscar Dot Com

Hey Folks! It is another year of pretty bad nominees, but some of them are cool so we'll roll with that. We could follow the trades, whatever those are, but really that's the coward's way out. HERE we have now for you, Norwegian Morning Wood's OFFICIAL 2023 146th Annual Oscar Predictions.

Best Picture

All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
Women Talking

Predicted Winner: Everything Everywhere All at Once

This could go a few ways for sure, but lately the Academy has just had this absolutely boffo streak like The Shape of Water (2017), Parasite (2019), and Nomadland (2020). My biggest disappointment is that I don't want Everything to ever become a mainstream movie. It's so fun and original and niche and weird, I'd love to keep it all to our weird selves. It's wacky that it's gotten this traction, but perhaps even the Academy is getting more niche and wrapping in on itself? There are insane nominees here - Elvis, Triangle of Sadness, Top Gun: Maverick? It's a fun lot. Inisherin might upset, but I just don't see it.

Best Director

The Banshees of Inisherin, Martin McDonagh
Everything Everywhere All at Once, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
The Fabelmans, Steven Spielberg
Tár, Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness, Ruben Östlund

Predicted Winner: Kwan and Scheinert

Best Director doesn't seem to line up with Best Picture that often, and it might to to Spielberg, but that just feels cheap, you know? Probably. There's a case for everyone here. Field makes films rarely enough that they could think to give it to him while it's out. McDonagh has done well in recent years but notably didn't for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017), so maybe that's rectified here? But I think in cases of insular weirdness, just like the aforementioned three weird BP winners above, the awards align.

Best Actor

Austin Butler in Elvis
Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser in The Whale
Paul Mescal in Aftersun
Bill Nighy in Living

Predicted Winner: Colin Farrell

Everyone is saying Fraser or Butler and the latter is deserving, but I'm going with the curveball. He had a ridiculous year and I don't think the Academy actually gives out those Comeback awards as often as we think they do. Butler could easily get this, they love biopics for some reason, but man Elvis is just so damn weird. I want to stick with my Farrell pick.

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett in Tár
Ana de Armas in Blonde
Andrea Riseborough in To Leslie
Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted Winner: Yeoh

This could easily be Blanchett, but I think she nuked herself when she started talking about how she doesn't care about awards. And Yeoh is perfectly deserving and has momentum. I'm pumped for Ana de Armas, she really did a triumphant job in Blonde, but that just doesn't seem to have caught on with...much of anyone besides me. I sure would love to see her win against Michelle Williams who was nominated for playing Marilyn Monroe ten years ago and lost. Also, how the hell did that definitely a scam Andrea Riseborough campaign actually work?!

Best Supporting Actor

Brendan Gleeson in The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry in Causeway
Judd Hirsch in The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted Winner: Quan

It just feels like it's in the bag for big child actor and then retired Ke Huy Quan. Is it messed up that Short Round will get an Oscar and not Indy? I'd really love to see Keoghan, I loved EEAAO but c'mon the acting in Banshees is absurd. I actually don't think Quan is all that super great, I guess he switches personas effortlessly, but Hsu, Yeoh, and even Curtis are the big names here. And yeah, they're all nominated, too so that's cool.

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau in The Whale
Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All at Once
Stephanie Hsu in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted Winner: Bassett

Man it'd be fun for Jamie Lee Curtis to finally get an Oscar. Although she really hasn't been in that many films that stretched her acting muscles, just a huge unrecognized generational talent. Of course if anyone were to beat her, no one's more deserving than Angela Bassett, who after a bit of a slump through the early 2000s has come back doing ridiculously great work in the past decade. She's also incredibly deserving and I'm a huge fan, it'll be fun to see!

Best Original Screenplay

The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Triangle of Sadness

Predicted Winner: Banshees

This feels right, especially if it's snubbed elsewhere. It really is a marvelous screenplay, it lacks the didactic pretension of Tar, and I haven't seen the rest. EEAAO might sweep and nab it, but it feels like it should go here. Plus, McDonagh's films haven't actually won this despite building a great following over the years.

Best Adapted Screenplay

All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Living
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking

Predicted Winner: Western Front

I don't actually know here, man. Glass Onion and Maverick seem way too mainstream. Living and Women Talking seem way too obscure. Also, who thinks Top Gun has a great screenplay? It lacks all iconic lines of the original and has the most insanely convenient ending of all time. Am I the only one who thought it wasn't that great?! Give it all the awards in the world for cinematography and production design, but it's not a great or unique story, man. Okay, it's efficient, sure. I'd be shocked but also like "of course." if it wins. Quiet is left, so let's go with that.

Best Film Editing

The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick

Predicted Winner: Maverick

I dunno. Tar doesn't even have editing. Elvis is nothing but editing and Bohemian Rhapsody (2018) won a few years ago for much less. Everything certainly has a lot and it's integral to the story. Banshees it's not super apparent. Maybe that's the ticket! Top Gun maybe, it's definitely a feat to to cobble together all that footage. It seems to be leading and again, with other technical snubs, maybe this is a "good enough" kind of category for it.

Best Animated Film

Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
The Sea Beast
Turning Red

Predicted Winner: Pinocchio

Is it possible? It's definitely the best one. And the most uniquely animated. It's the forerunner right now. I haven't seen Beast or Puss yet, but I hear they're good. I don't like that shell fucker. Turning Red was solid but not really exceptional. Maybe the Del Toro name slapped on this film is critical to remind folks of its pedigree and we definitely went Pinocchio crazy for some reason this year. It seems like a safe bet.

Best International Feature Film

All Quiet on the Western Front
Argentina, 1985
Close
EO
The Quiet Girl

Predicted Winner: Quiet

I thought Argeninta, 1985 would be the lock, but it's kind of that deal where, why wouldn't they vote for the one film who is also nominated in a ton of other categories. Seems like a no brainer I wonder if we'll get tripped up.

Best Cinematography

All Quiet on the Western Front
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Elvis
Empire of Light
Tár

Predicted Winner: Quiet

Dude, like, these all suck. No Top Gun, Blonde, Nope, Don't Worry Darling, Barbarian? Whatever, man. Just seemed like a ton of beautiful movies released this year. 1917 (2020) JUST won this, will the differentiate or is that a safe indication of trends? Or does it just go to Roger Deakins for Empire of Light? I can see it going to the flash and breathtaking Elvis. It's got to win something. Maybe. Let's hope that's editing and this goes again to Western Front, which just seems to follow trends right now and is the more traditional winner in this kind of category.

Best Original Score

All Quiet on the Western Front
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans

Predicted Winner: Babylon

I haven't seen it. But it's apparently good? Sure. I can't picture the score of anything else.

Best Original Song

“Applause” from Tell It like a Woman
“Hold My Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick
“Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
“Naatu Naatu” from RRR
“This Is A Life” from Everything Everywhere All at Once

Predicted Winner: "Naatu"

Now give RRR a best picture nod! This seems like the most in the bag category of the year, which is spectacular.

Best Production Design

All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans
Predicted Winner: Elvis

Folks are saying Babylon, I just can't see that winning that much, people seem to hate that movie. That kinda leaves...Elvis? Or do we give awards for longest, not best these days. KIDDING AVAMAGAR, kidding.

Best Costume Design

Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Everything Everywhere All at Once
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

Predicted Winner: Wakanda Forever
It won last time, so...sure? Nothing else is really creeping in. Maybe EEAAO. Lots and lots of creative and cool costumes there. But nothing really wild and from a different time or culture like Wakanda Forever.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

All that Breathes
Fire of Love
Navalny
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

Descendant
Predicted Winner: Fire of Love
Most of these sound cool. Beauty and Blood seems to be the frontrunner. But documentary always just goes to the one people have heard of, and that's clearly volcano love.

Best Visual Effects
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Top Gun: Maverick
Predicted Winner: AVABAR
Listen, I give this movie a lot of crap but it should clearly win here. Maybe Top Gun because those effects are actually more impressive (real always wins), but people seem behind ABAMRAR.
SOUND
Top Gun Maverick
Avatar the Way of Water
Elvis
All Quiet on the Western Front
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Predicted Winner: TOP GUN
Man, you never know. But those jets are sweet. And they had to record in those loud ass things, too. It's got to win something. War movies are always big here, too. We'll see where it ends up.
Best Animated Short

“The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse” Charlie Mackesy and Matthew Freud
“The Flying Sailor” Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby
“Ice Merchants” Joao Gonzalez and Bruno Cactano
“My Year of Dicks” Sara Gunnarsdottir and Pamela Ribon
“An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I Think I Believe It” Lachlan Pendragon
Predicted Winner: "Ostrich"
It's got a cool title. "Ice Merchants" is the other one that seems like it has a neat premise. Everything else is trash. Who knows.
Best Documentary Short

“The Elephant Whisperers” Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga
“Haulout” Evgeniaq Arbugaeva and Maxim Arbugaev
“How Do You Measure a Year?” Jay Rosenblatt
“The Martha Mitchell Effect” Anne Alvergue and Beth Levison
“Stranger at the Gate” Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones

Predicted Winner: Martha Mitchell

I dunno, relevance? Seems like the most interesting, and that's how I make these crapshoot predictions.

Best Live Action Short

“An Irish Goodbye” Tom Berkeley and Ross White
“Ivalu” Anders Walter and Rebecca Pruzan
“Le Pupille” Alice Rohrwacher and Alfonso Cuaron
“Night Ride” Erik Tveiten and Gaute Lid Larssen
“The Red Suitcase” Cyrus Neshvad

Predicted Winner: Le Pupille

Comes from Cuaron, so there's pedigree and was on Disney+, so there's exposure. "Ivalu" and "Red Suitcase" seem cool and "An Irish Goodbye" is like the inverse Banshees of Inisherin. So lots to go on there, but let's be safe and stupid.

So there you have it! All 23 categories, perfectly predicted, stay tuned for the actual Oscar ceremony which will assuredly happen sometime in the future!

01 January 2023

2022 Movie Watching Review!

It's the most magical time of year, people! We've been tracking all the films I've watched all year and now it's finally time to get some numbers. In total it was a very good year - the most movies I've watched since 2018 (where I cranked a staggering 249 movies, I don't think I'll hit that again and ever have a normal life). 200 really is becoming right around my average. Maybe a high average. Here's our total stats!

20152016201720182019202020212022
Total movies198220224249200182181202
First-time viewingsn/a117133157131110111154
First-time viewing %n/a53%59%63%66%60%61%76%
Streamingn/a5581157118133134160
Streaming %n/a25%36%63%59%73%74%79%
TV8684551073113
TV %43%38%25%4%4%2%6%2%
Theater101112168279
Theater %5%5%5%6%4%1%4%5%

A few things off the bat - mostly my first-time viewings were outstanding. I've been hovering around 50-60% forever, which is honestly weird. Like, I watch that many movies I've already seen before? That's bonkers. Hitting 76% is a huge breakthrough. Streaming also keeps finding a way to creep higher and higher. I can't believe that just a few years ago the amount of movies I watched on TV dwarfed streaming. It now ends up pretty outdated to even include it on this list. Undoubtedly that's a big reason why I had so many repeat viewings. Streaming really is a great boon for movie lovers.

Theater percentages were up although I again don't see all that many movies in theaters. I just don't live in NYC or LA and we don't get a ton here that really interest me. I'm also perfectly fine understanding the text of a film from the lazy comfort of my own domicile. The only other big gap to add would be DVD viewings, which I should probably look back and figure out.

Let's get into the nitty gritty of viewing methods:

Amazon Prime63.0%
Disney+105.0%
HBOMax6029.7%
Netflix Streaming3517.3%
Netflix DVD2311.4%
TV31.5%
Theater94.5%
Paramount+52.5%
Peacock105.0%
Planes63.0%
Other Streaming2210.9%
Hulu125.9%
Total Streaming:16079.2%

Naturally, HBOMax crushes it again. Can we give them some of this data so they understand how good they are as a pure movie service? It will be a dark day indeed when they completely switch over to reality TV programming. Everything else is kind of similar. Disney+ only really got a boost from the Star Wars marathon to end the year. Other than that, Paramount+ and Amazon Prime are pretty similar. Peacock and Hulu having an edge surprised me, the former for being a little high and the latter for being a little low.

Other streaming included:

Allblk
Apple+
SlingTV
PlutoTV
XUMO
TUBI
Xfinity
YouTube

I actually watched eight films on Tubi, which beat out most of the other "bigger" streaming services. The rest were four or under. Which again, isn't all that far off. We can think about really including everyone in the years to come.

HBOMax was actually down very slightly from 2021. Hulu, Netflix DVD, and Netflix Streaming were all remarkably steady. The big change really is the addition of new niche services. In 2021 we had Sling, Pluto, and Xfinity here and there but "other streaming" was only 2.2%. This year it was 10.9%. Certainly something to keep an eye on!

By Year

1920s21.0%
1930s10.5%
1940s10.5%
1950s42.0%
1960s21.0%
1970s125.9%
1980s178.4%
1990s2311.4%
2000s2512.4%
2010s3517.3%
2020s8039.6%
20224823.8%

There isn't a whole lot of change from 2021 to this. The only notable sink is the 2010s which decreased almost 9%. I suppose a lot of that is naturally from pulling more films from the current year, which siphons more 2020 and 2021 instead of 2019 films. I only watched two from 2020, which is likely more a product of the decreased releases that year than anything. I watched ten more films from the current year than I did in 2021, but the percentages were largely similar.

By Month

January17
February15
March12
April23
May17
June16
July15
August14
September14
October20
November18
December21

I should figure out a long term average for my months. There never seems to be any rhyme or reason besides December being high as I try to get in everything I've missed over the year.

Here we go!

AVERAGE
January191723162215151718
February111512141721151115
March151218161427161216
April152315252223131219
May151722131922291920
June20162581819241819
July161516181715101515
August121418251825141718
September101416132016121414
October142017101924101516
November121818101821201617
December222120282021221621

I only saw two movies twice this year. Jackass Forever and The Northman. Both well worth it!

General Thoughts:

It was a good year all around but boy I watched some really bad movies this year. A lot of that was me trying to clean up some queues with the 52 in '22 series. I don't regret doing that, but it's tough to learn the hard lesson that most movies that people think are bad are very bad. But I'm happy with my numbers this year, as always there could be more older films added but I'm always just glad to get every decade represented. The most recent year unrepresented was 2000, which is good I guess. That's getting to be a while ago!

Every single year I think about not doing this, but the effort isn't all that much for the fun data we get out of it. I enjoy stripping it down and this year was much more reasonable. Again we don't really have a reason to judge things by month but it's a nice way to organize a massive ridiculous list. What if I started tracking by genre? Ooh that's a good bad idea.

See you next year!
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